George Box 乔治·博克斯
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George Edward Pelham Box (18 October 1919 – 28 March 2013) was a British statistician, who worked in the areas of quality control, time-series analysis, design of experiments, and Bayesian inference. He has been called "one of the great statistical minds of the 20th century". He is famous for the quote "All models are wrong but some are useful"
乔治·博克斯(1919 年 10 月 18 日 - 2013 年 3 月 28 日)是一位英国统计学家,从事质量控制、时间序列分析、实验设计和贝叶斯推理领域的工作。他被称为“20 世纪最伟大的统计学家之一”。他因“所有模型都是错误的,但有些模型是有用的”这句名言而闻名。
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Box founded the UW–Madison Department of Statistics in 1960 and served as chair until 1969. “He shaped the department for the first 30 to 40 years,” says current department chair Brian Yandell.
博克斯于 1960 年创立了威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校统计学系,并一直担任系主任直至 1969 年。“他在最初的 30 到 40 年里塑造了这个系,”现任系主任布莱恩·扬德尔说。
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“There were various statisticians of sorts scattered around the university but there was no statistics department,” recalls Norman Draper, professor emeritus of statistics and a longtime colleague of Box. “And all these separate statisticians – there were two or three in agriculture, for example – were glad to have this department started because it suddenly made statistics focused and available to all.”
“大学里到处都是各种各样的统计学家,但没有统计系,”统计学名誉教授、博克斯的长期同事诺曼·德雷珀回忆道。 “所有这些独立的统计学家(例如农业部门的两三位)都很高兴这个部门的成立,因为它突然使统计学变得集中并可供所有人使用。”
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Famous for saying, “All models are wrong, but some are useful,” Box emphasized the use of statistics to improve experimental processes. He was world-renowned for his work on optimizing experimental design with statistics and pushed his students and colleagues to consider the practical applications of statistical methods.
Box 以“所有模型都是错误的,但有些模型是有用的”这句话而闻名,他强调使用统计数据来改进实验过程。他因使用统计数据优化实验设计而闻名于世,并鼓励他的学生和同事考虑统计方法的实际应用。
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Best known on campus were the Monday night beer and statistics sessions Box hosted at his home for students and other researchers. The gatherings sparked lively discussions about how statistics could help solve research problems posed by speakers from a wide range of disciplines.
校园里最著名的是 Box 每周一晚上在家里为学生和其他研究人员举办的啤酒和统计会议。这些聚会引发了热烈的讨论,讨论统计数据如何帮助解决来自各个学科的演讲者提出的研究问题。
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“Sometimes it would just be a good time, but other times it generated new research directions,” says Yandell. Former students have credited the sessions with teaching them as much or more than their classes.
“有时这只是一个愉快的时光,但有时它会产生新的研究方向,”Yandell 说。以前的学生认为这些课程给他们带来的教益与课堂上一样多,甚至更多。
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After stints at North Carolina State University, Imperial Chemical Industries in London, and Princeton University, Box joined the Mathematics Research Center at UW–Madison in 1959 and founded the Department of Statistics in 1960.
在北卡罗来纳州立大学、伦敦帝国化学工业公司和普林斯顿大学任职后,Box 于 1959 年加入威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校数学研究中心,并于 1960 年创立了统计系。
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Box authored multiple textbooks and developed several statistical tools, some of which bear his name: Box-Jenkins model, Box-Cox transformations, and Box-Behnken designs. He received numerous awards and honors, including a Vilas Professorship at UW–Madison and being elected a Fellow of the Royal Society. He served as president of the American Statistical Association in 1978 and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics in 1980.
Box 撰写了多本教科书,开发了多种统计工具,其中一些以他的名字命名:Box-Jenkins 模型、Box-Cox 变换和 Box-Behnken 设计。他获得了无数奖项和荣誉,包括威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校的 Vilas 教授职位和皇家学会会员。他于 1978 年担任美国统计协会主席,并于 1980 年担任数理统计研究所主席。
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Box mentored generations of students who have extended his influence far and wide and was known for his sense of humor, genial nature and compelling storytelling abilities.
Box 指导了一代又一代的学生,这些学生对他的影响非常广泛,他以幽默感、和蔼可亲的性格和引人入胜的讲故事能力而闻名。
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With the late Bill Hunter, he co-founded the Center for Quality and Productivity Improvement in 1985 in the College of Engineering. Though he retired in 1992, Box continued to act as a consultant for members of the statistics and quality improvement communities.
1985 年,他与比尔·亨特 (Bill Hunter) 共同在工程学院创立了质量和生产力改进中心。虽然 Box 于 1992 年退休,但他仍继续担任统计和质量改进社区成员的顾问。
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“He was wonderful to be around,” Draper says. “He was a man who was full of ideas and very enthusiastic.”
“和他在一起很愉快,”德雷珀说。“他是一个充满想法、充满热情的人。”